What if we rold you there are certain numbers in certain sports that can dramatically improve your chances of making winning bets? They’re called key numbers and once you understand how they work, they can help your sports betting bottom line in a big way.

To be a successful sports bettor, key numbers are something you need to be aware of. Once you learn to look at a bet with key numbers in mind, all kinds of interesting betting opportunities will start to reveal themselves.

Ke numbers are different in different sports so before you make a bet, always be aware of the role that key numbers okay in the specific sport you are betting on.

Key Numbers: Quick Definition

Key numbers refer to the most common margin of victory in a game. The margin is heavily influenced by the scoring system in that specific sport. Key numbers always have to do with the increments in which points are scored.

In football, three and seven are the most important key numbers because points are scored in threes for field goals and sevens for converted touchdowns.

In sports with a single scoring system, like hockey or soccer where you can only ever score one goal at a time, key numbers are less important. However, in sports like football and basketball where you are awarded different numbers of points depending on the type of score, key numbers become very important, especially to gambling.

Key Numbers Explained In Detail

Like we mentioned before, key numbers are all about the most common margin of victory and they’re based on the increments players can score points in. These two numbers are closely related.

The value of the different scores in a sport tends to determine the most common margin of victory. If you know the most common margins of victory, you can place bets based around these numbers and better predict the gam’s outcome.

Example: By far the most common margin of vicotry in the NFL is three points, the value of a field goal. Amazingly, around 15% of all NFL games have been decided by three point since 1996.

Each sport has different key numbers associated with it. They are often either the value of a certain type of score, a multiple of that value, or one number up or down from that value. This is because when games are close, one successful scoring opportunity is often enough to win the game. When an NFL game is close near the end, teams are more likely to try to win with a field goal, rather than run the risk of scoring a touchdown. This leads to statistics like the one above.

An important thing to note is that key numbers are most relevant for certain bets on the outcome of individual games, namely, point spreads and point totals. We’ll go into detail on each of those and how they relate specifically to the NFL and NBA in more detail.

Key numbers are not very useful for future bets or other forms of sports betting.

So, now we know that key numbers are the most common margins of victory, determined by the scoring system. How can we use this information to our advantage in sports betting? Keep reading to find out.

How Do You Use Key Numbers to Bet on Sports?

The most popular bet in all of sports gambling is called the point spread. It involves a predicting not just which team will win the game, but what the margin of victory will be. If you’re new to point spreads, here’s an easy explanation.

What is a Point Spread?

A point spread is a way of leveling the playing field when betting on teams with differing abilities by helping the underdog and handicapping the favorite. The favorite team will be given a negative point value, while the underdog will be given a positive point value. It will look something like this:

  • New England Patriots -3 (-110)
  • Philadelphia Eagles +3 (-110)

This means that to win this bet on the Patriots, the Pats need to win by 3.5 points or more. If you bet on the Eagles here, you would win the bet if they either win the game or lose by less than 3 points or more.

The second set of numbers is the odds and it tells you how much the bet pays out. In this case, you have to bet $110 to win $100 in profit.

Point Spreads and Key Numbers

So you know which key numbers are important for each sport. Unfortunately, so does the bookmaker. As you can see in the example above, the point spread is often placed around a key number. Bookmakers will be reluctant to move off key numbers in the point spread since they are the most common margin of victory.

However, there are still lots of ways to use key numbers to your advantage in point spread betting.

When you see a point spread that is just over or under a key number (for example, 3.5 in the NFL) it’s an opportunity. If you think the underdog has a good chance of covering the spread, +3.5 is a great number to have since so many games end with a margin of three points.

In this example, if the underdog loses by a field goal, you still win your bet.

The same concept can also be used for another really popular bet: Totals, also known as over/unders.

What is Point Total Betting?

Point total betting is quite simple. You are betting that the total number of points scored by both teams combined will be either higher or lower than a certain number chosem by the sportsbook. In football, a typical point total bet might look like this:

New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles

  • Over 41 (-110)
  • Under 41 (-110)

In this case, the bookmaker has indicated that they believe the combined total scores in the game will be 41. If you think the final total will be higher, bet the over. If you think it will be lower, bet the under.

Key Numbers and Point Totals (Over/Unders)

Once again, the answer lies in the scoring system. The fact that points are scored in certain increments means that some points totals are much more likely than others. When you know the most common combinations, you can learn to spot when the point total is at a potentially valuable number depending on what you think the outcome of the game will be.

Some bookmakers will even allow you to bet on the exact total number of points scored, or offer point total betting in an individual quarter or half of a game. Key numbers are relevant for all of these.

Key numbers are most relevant for irregular, multi-point scoring sports.

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